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U.S. Housing Market Collapse? Nowhere in Sight

August 4th, 2022 by tisner


The housing market has taken a few hits, such as a doubling of mortgage rates in 2022, but it remains solid even if legitimate news providers suggest doom and gloom.

NEW YORK – The rock-hard foundation of the U.S. housing market is suffering some cracks, but an outright collapse is nowhere in sight.

Regardless, sensational news headlines are reverberating like seismic tremors around the country. Here are recent inflammatory headlines from legitimate websites:

  • “U.S. home prices are about to tumble as demand for new houses ‘craters,’ an economist warns.” (BusinessInsider)
  • “Homebuilder confidence suffers near-record plunge” (Newsweek)
  • “Scary times: builders are slashing home prices and slowing construction as buyers pull back, survey shows” (MarketWatch)
  • “The housing market is entering the ‘most significant contraction in activity since 2006,’ says Freddie Mac economist” (Fortune)

Gloomy reports like these can be enough to make builders halt building. Or to prompt homebuyers to delay buying. Or to discourage mortgage brokers from lending.

In an unintentional collaboration, depressing news can have a chilling effect on the housing market. They create a negative tone.

In recent years, however, the real estate market has been resilient, through the ups and downs of the U.S. economy, through pandemics. On a national level, home prices soared 40% over the past two years, according to the Case-Shiller Price Index.

These price increases have been even bigger in Northeast Florida. And even more so in trendy places like Amelia Island, where a hearty demand outstrips a limited supply of houses and condominiums and raw land.

A new complication has clouded the housing picture in recent months, however. It’s the almighty Fed.

With its eye on cooling down inflationary prices, the Federal Reserve has embarked on a campaign of interest rate hikes. Therefore, borrowing costs have inevitably increased for homebuyers.

Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is sputtering, bordering on the brink of a mild recession. Inflation rages at the hottest pace in 40 years. However, employment is still healthy – contrary to most recessions. So there are mixed economic signals.

With U.S. stocks dipping into bear market territory, the economic backdrop for real estate has ultimately darkened. Homebuilding stocks have also cratered – a leading indicator of what potentially lies ahead.

“The market is adjusting to a new reality, with much lower sales volumes and far more inventory,” says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macro. “Prices, therefore, have to adjust to the downside, likely quite substantially.”

With Federal Reserve’s recent moves, mortgage rates have doubled from previous levels. As expected, mortgage applications have dropped off a cliff – to the lowest level since 2000.

The same level of decline has been seen in homebuilder confidence. A measure of this confidence dropped precipitously in July. Consequently, prices of new homes should follow a similar downward path, although the trajectory is the question.

The number of home listings remains low nationally. However, new listings increased at the fastest pace in five years, according to Realtor.com. And listing prices are being reduced in some red-hot markets (Austin, Las Vegas, Nashville).

But all these measures and statistics and sensational headlines must be put into context. Home prices are still near record levels, in most places. Here in Nassau County, prices are still at record levels, especially around Amelia Island.

Cracks in a foundation will usually spread over time. And only time will tell how the housing market endures, through the obstacles and challenges.

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

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By: www.floridarealtors.org and Steve Nicklas

Orlando State of the Market June 2022

July 21st, 2022 by tisner

Orlando Area Residential Real Estate Snapshot for June 2022

State of the Market

  • Inventory increased by 41.2% from May 2022 to June 2022, with 1,586 more homes on the market in June compared to May. This is the second month in a row with a surge in inventory, following May’s increase of 44.2%.
  • Inventory increased by 75.5% from June 2021 to June 2022, jumping from 3,098 homes in June 2021 to 5,437 in June 2022.
  • June’s median home price was recorded at $387,000, an increase of 1.9% compared to May 2022; this sets a record high for the fifth month in a row. This is a 22.9% increase from June 2021 to June 2022, when the median home price was recorded at $315,000 in June 2021.
  • Interest rates increased from 5.3% in May 2022 to 5.5% in June 2022. This is the highest interest rates in the Orlando area have been since November 2008.
  • Overall sales in June 2022 decreased by 3.9%, with a total of 3,793 sales compared to 3,946 sales in May 2022. This is a 14.1% decrease compared to June 2021 when overall sales were recorded at 4,414.
  • Homes spent an average of 20 days on the market in June, down slightly from May 2022 when the average was 21 days.
  • New listings increased by 11.3% from May 2022 to June 2022, with a total of 5,367 new homes on the market in June.
  • “A balanced housing market has a six-month supply of homes,” said Tansey Soderstrom, Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association President. “In June, with rising interest rates and surging inventory, we had over a one-month supply of homes for sale for the first time since February 2021. While it’s still a sellers’ market, we’re continuing to see signs that the market is starting to level out, which is good news for buyers.”

Market Snapshot

  • Interest rates continue to increase as the average interest rate for June 2022 was recorded at 5.5%. This is an 87.5% increase from June 2021 when interest rates were at 2.9%.
  • Pending sales decreased by 8.9% from May 2022 to June 2022 for a total of 4,231 pending sales.
  • 23 distressed homes (bank-owned properties and short sales) accounted for 0.6% of all home sales in June 2022. That represents a 4.2% decrease from May 2022, when 24 distressed homes sold.

Inventory

  • Orlando area inventory increased by 41.2% from May 2022 to June 2022 from 3,851 homes to 5,437 homes. Inventory in June 2022 was 75.5% higher than in June 2021.
  • The supply of homes increased to 1.43 months in June 2022. This is the first time the supply has been over one month since February 2021. A balanced market is six months of supply.
  • The number of new listings increased in June 2022 from May 2022 by 11.3% to 5,367 homes.

 

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

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This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association and the Stellar Multiple Listing Service. Neither the association nor StellarMLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the association or by StellarMLS does not reflect all real estate activity in the market. Due to late closings, an adjustment is necessary to record those closings posted after our reporting date.

ORRA REALTOR® sales represent sales involving Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association members, who are primarily – but not exclusively – located in Orange and Seminole counties. Note that statistics released each month of be revised in the future as new data is received.

Orlando MSA numbers reflect sales of homes located in Orange, Seminole, Osceola, and Lake counties by members of any REALTOR® association, not just members of ORRA.

Orlando State of the Market May 2022

June 16th, 2022 by tisner

Orlando Area Residential Real Estate Snapshot for May- 2022

State of the Market

  • Inventory increased by 44.2% from April 2022 to May 2022, with over 1200 additional homes hitting the market in May compared to April – this is the highest monthly increase in Orlando inventory to date
  • May’s median home price was recorded at $379,950, an increase of 2.7% compared to $370,000 in April 2022; this sets a record high for the fourth month in a row.
  • Interest rates increased from 4.9% in April 2022 to 5.3% in May 2022. This is the highest interest rates in the Orlando area have been since 2009. This is also the first time Orlando’s interest rates have gone above 5% since April 2010, when they were recorded at 5.1%.
  • Overall sales in May increased by 3.8%, with a total of 3,946 sales compared to 3,800 sales in April 2022. This is a 1.9% increase compared to May 2021 when overall sales were recorded at 3,872.
  • Homes spent an average of 21 days on the market in May, down 12.5% from April 2022 when the average was 24.
  • New listings increased by 10.7% from April 2022 to May 2022, with a total of 4,822 new homes on the market in May.
  • “This new surge in inventory is a sign that the Orlando housing market is beginning to level out, which is good news for both buyers and sellers,” said Tansey Soderstrom, Orlando Regional REALTOR®Association President. “Buyers will find more homes to choose from and sellers are still getting top dollar as Orlando’s median home price continues to rise.”
  • Market Snapshot
  • Interest rates continue to increase as the average interest rate for May 2022 was recorded at 5.3%. This is a significant rise compared to May 2021 when interest rates were at 3%.
  • Pending sales decreased by 7.9% from April 2022 to May 2022 for a total of 4,645 pending sales.
  • 24 distressed homes (bank-owned properties and short sales) accounted for 0.6% of all home sales in May 2022. That represents a 7.7% decrease over April 2022, when 26 distressed homes sold.
  • Inventory
  • Orlando area inventory increased by 44.2% from April 2022 to May 2022 from 2,670 homes to 3,851 homes. Inventory in May 2022 was 36.5% higher than in May 2021.
  • The supply of homes remained at nearly one month in May 2022. A balanced market is six months of supply.
  • The number of new listings increased in May 2022 from April 2022 by 10.7% to 4,822 homes.Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

    You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

    Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Weekly Market Snapshot 4/20 – 4/27

April 28th, 2022 by tisner

 

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Stats courtesy of StellarMLS

Weekly Market Snapshot 4/7 – 4/13

April 14th, 2022 by tisner


Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website
.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Stats courtesy of StellarMLS

Weekly Market Snapshot 4/1 – 4/6

April 7th, 2022 by tisner

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Stats courtesy of StellarMLS

Orlando State of the Market February 2022

March 24th, 2022 by tisner

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Orlando State of the Market January 2022

February 24th, 2022 by tisner

Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Weekly Market Snapshot 2/3 – 2/9

February 10th, 2022 by tisner


Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website
.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Stats courtesy of StellarMLS

Weekly Market Snapshot 1/27 – 2/2

February 3rd, 2022 by tisner


Access Teri’s one-stop Orlando FL home search website
.

Teri Isner is the team leader of Orlando Avenue Top Team and has been a Realtor for over 24 years. Teri has distinguished herself as a leader in the Orlando FL real estate market. Teri assists buyers looking for Orlando FL real estate for sale and aggressively markets Orlando FL homes for sale.

You deserve professional real estate service! You obtain the best results with Teri Isner plus you benefit from her marketing skills, experience and ability to network with other REALTORS®. Your job gets done pleasantly and efficiently.  You are able to make important decisions easily with fast, accurate information from Teri. The Orlando Avenue Top Team handles the details and follow-up that are important to the success of your transaction.

Get Orlando Daily News delivered to your inbox! Subscribe here!

Stats courtesy of StellarMLS

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